© Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2017
Saravana Kumar and Rachel Maria Gomes (eds.)Bariatric Surgical Practice Guide10.1007/978-981-10-2705-5_66. Preoperative Predictors of Weight Loss After Bariatric Surgery
(1)
Department of GI Surgery, Bariatric and Minimal Access Surgery, BLK Hospital, Delhi, India
(2)
National University Hospital, Singapore, Singapore
6.1 Introduction
Obesity has emerged as a major public health problem in both developed and developing countries. This is only expected to increase further into epidemic proportions in the years to come. Involvement of multiple organ systems and its strong association with comorbidity is well established. Bariatric surgery has emerged to be the most promising option for long term weight loss and resolution of co-morbidities.
Outcomes of bariatric surgery remain highly procedure and surgeon specific. A successful outcome is also highly dependent on the patient’s compliance with alterations in their eating habits and levels of physical activity [1–3]. The commonest bariatric procedure in the West is the laparoscopic roux-en-y gastric bypass (LRYGB) which consistently results in the loss of 70–80 % of excess body weight. However the degree of weight loss among bariatric surgical patients post-surgery is considerably variable. Considerable effort has been made in this regard in the recent years, in order to identify specific preoperative predictive factors in these patients which may alter the degree of weight loss postoperatively thereby allowing surgeons to identify patients who are most likely to benefit from surgery, for optimal resource allocation and patient satisfaction.
The only factor which has been subjected to a meta-analysis is that of preoperative weight loss which shows a positive association with postoperative weight loss following gastric bypass surgery. Another clinical variable is baseline BMI; the higher the BMI, the lesser the patient will lose in terms of percentage of excess body weight (%EWL) relative to patients with lower initial BMIs. This effect is in part an artifact of measuring weight loss in relative rather than absolute terms [4, 5].
Although the remaining data are not based on level 1 evidence other preoperatively identifiable factors which are associated with an improved outcome include Caucasian ethnicity, higher educational status, non-shift-work working patterns, female gender and divorced or single marital status. Similarly increased levels of preoperative physical activity and an absence of binge eating behavior are consistent with a favorable result whereas increased age, smoking and other socioeconomic factors have not been shown to have a significant impact. Conversely diabetes mellitus seems to have a slightly negative correlation with postoperative weight loss; however, a history of psychiatric illness has not been shown to have any significant influence.
The purpose of this chapter is to discuss the current state of evidence with regard to identification of preoperative predictive factors affecting weight loss post bariatric surgery hence assisting surgeons in patient selection.
6.2 Preoperative Weight Loss
Preoperative weight loss is postulated to help assess patient compliance and assist with patient selection. Requiring preoperative weight loss might identify patients who will comply better with the dietary restrictions after surgery. Losing weight in the weeks before surgery appears to decrease liver size, which in turn might lead to shorter operative times, lesser blood loss, lower rates of conversion from laparoscopic to open procedures, and fewer per-operative complications [6].
Because a preoperative weight loss requirement in the period immediately preceding surgery might potentially exclude some patients who would refuse to lose weight, it is critical to evaluate the evidence on whether preoperative weight loss leads to improved outcomes. Several studies have found a short-term benefit for preoperative weight loss in bariatric surgery patients as per a meta-analysis done by Masha et al. [7]. Mrad et al. found that preoperative weight loss correlated with postoperative weight loss in men but not in women. A significant short-term correlation was found at 3 months, but this effect had disappeared by 12 months [8]. Alami et al. also found significantly greater weight loss in the preoperative weight loss group at 3 months [9]. Alvarado et al. showed that an increase of 1 % in preoperative weight loss correlated with an increase of 1.8 % in the postoperative percentage excess weight loss (%EWL) at 1 year [10]. Carlin et al. found no correlation between the preoperative and postoperative %EWL at 12 months, controlling for initial BMI [11]. Alger-Mayer et al. found a positive correlation between the preoperative %EWL and post-operative %EWL at 3 years [12].
The above concept is controversial, in part because of questions of the safety of relatively rapid weight loss in an obese population before undergoing major surgery. The efficacy and justification of mandating patients to lose weight before bariatric surgery has also been challenged. The findings suggest that obese patients can lose 10 % of their excess body weight in the weeks before undergoing surgery without significant peri-operative risk. Several studies demonstrated a decreased operative time for patients who had lost weight preoperatively, although mostly this did not translate to a decreased length of stay or reduction in complication rates. Overall, it appears that preoperative weight loss results in greater total postoperative weight loss, when studies of low quality were excluded.
6.3 Preoperative BMI
Several authors have sought to determine whether or not a patient’s preoperative body mass index (BMI) has any bearing on their likely outcome following surgery. The majority of those studies have concluded that while a higher preoperative BMI is associated with a greater absolute weight loss, when considered in terms of %EWL, this group tends to be worse [1, 13–17].
To date no meta-analysis of the studies specific to LRYGB has been published and consequently the significance of BMI at presentation can only be considered to be based on level 3 evidence at best. The discrepancy between absolute weight loss and %EWL has led some authors to argue that %EWL is not an appropriate measure of success in the higher initial BMI group. Percentage EWL is a relative measure that diminishes the significance of the absolute amount, i.e., kilogram of weight lost. The disparity between %EWL and absolute weight loss is also magnified by the length of post-operative follow-up. The relatively short lengths of follow-up (i.e., 12 months) of many studies may not allow sufficient time for patients with higher BMIs to shed sufficient weight to reach their weight nadir.
6.4 Ethnicity
Several studies have looked at the subject of ethnicity to see whether racial background has an influence on the degree of EWL following LRYGB. All but one of the studies that have compared Caucasians with people of Afro-Caribbean descent have found a significantly greater degree of EWL in the investigated Caucasian populations [11, 18–23]. Why these racial differences exist is not currently known. Similarly, the degree to which ethnicity can be used as a prognostic indicator is also currently unquantified but there remains a strong suggestion that certain races do experience a more favorable outcome following LRYGB than others secondary to metabolic differences.
6.5 Marital Status
Another factor which has been shown to influence EWL following LRYGB is marital status. Whether this should be viewed as a modifiable factor is open to debate but the fact that unmarried patients achieved a higher degree of EWL after LRYGB when compared with their married counterparts is still worthy of consideration [20, 24].
6.6 Binge Eating Disorder
The specific aspect of eating behavior that has attracted the most attention has been that of binge eating disorder (BED) in which a person experiences episodes of eating an objectively large amount of food in association with a subjective feeling of loss of control. A literature review in 1998 by Hsu et al. concluded that BED was associated with weight regain [25].